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Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
Prof. dr. Paul A. Kirschner
Distinguished University Professor
Open University of the Netherlands
Thanks
Disclaimer
This keynote is not about:
• Privacy issues / Data protection / Big Brother
• Ethical aspects / questions
• Legal aspects / questions
• Commercial interests / Business optimisation
• Technology, Techniques, Dashboards, etcetera
• …
To paraphrase Bill Clinton: It’s the learning, people!
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
Your task Mr. Phelps – Mission Impossible?
Learning
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
National Tsing Hua Univerity
Learning
Sciences
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
Learning Analytics Model (Siemens, 2013)
(Siemens, 2013)
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
Learning Analytics Model
(Siemens, 2013)
Dystopia 1: Myopic vision of what learning is
Learning Analytics Model
(Siemens, 2013)
Missing link?
Learning Sciences theory as missing link
• Variables to include in a model
• Potential confounds, subgroups, or covariates in the data
• Which results to attend to
• Framework for interpreting results
• How to make results actionable
• Generalisation of results to other contexts and populations
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
Not only true of the US elections
Dystopia 2: Theory Free / Theory Poor LA
What are we looking for?
Meaningful variables?
Dystopia 3: Looking at wrong or invalid variables
Dystopia 4: Seeing Correlation as Causal
Spurious correlations
http://tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations
http://tylervigen.com/discover
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
Unintended consequences
http://interactioninstitute.org/unintended-consequences/
Dystopia 5: Unintended and unwanted effects
Goal orientation
http://buehlereducation.com/pedagogy-assessment/goal-
orientation-theory-and-education/
Pigeonholing / Profiling / Stereotyping
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
Predict
Utopia 1: Knowing what will happen (and when and why)
Simple data
Dietz-Uhler & Hurn (2013). Using Learning Analytics to Predict
(and Improve) Student Success: A Faculty Perspective
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
Adapt / Personalise?
Utopia 2: Custom tailored learning and instruction
Learning / study strategies
Summarise
Highlight/underline
Elaborative questions
Restudy
Generate keywords
Distribute practise
Variable practise
Visualise
Explain
(Self) Testing
Dr. Gino Camp – Welten Institute, OUNL
Variability of practise
a‐a‐a‐b‐b‐b‐c‐c‐c‐d‐d‐d versus a‐b‐c‐d‐a‐b‐c‐d‐a‐b‐c‐d
Ten steps to complex learning – Van Merriënboer & Kirschner
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
Recommend / Advise / Intervene
Utopia 3: The right thing for the right learner at the right time
Yong Zheng, Center for Web Intelligence, DePaul University
Navisro Analytics: Collaborative Filtering and Recommender Systems
Classification system*
* Drachsler et al., Panorama of Recommender Systems to Support Learning
Feedback
Utopia 4: Enlightening the learner
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
A better learning environment
Utopia 5: Simply the best
• Course improvement
• Feedback for staff (instructors, tutors)
• Grouping students
• Planning and scheduling
• Resource allocation
• Etcetera
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
Multimodal data, LA , 
&
dashboards for (S)SRL)  
http://www.slamproject.org/blog
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
LAK16 keynote Learning Analytics: Utopia or Dystopia
JCAL special issue
“Learning analytics in
massively multi-user
virtual environments and
courses"
Available online
CODE: JCALLAK16
paul.kirschner@ou.nl
@P_A_Kirschner

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